5.03) K. Hill RB GB 4.01) T. Wallace WR BAL 1.07) K. Pitts TE ATL Okay, fine, he's an undersized prospect who would need to follow a Dion Lewis-like path to fantasy relevancy, but he has legitimate speed and agility, and these third- and fourth-round rookie picks are all dart throws. Mills joins Kellen Mond as the Superflex upside plays in this range, with Mond having a more difficult path to 2021 usage with Kirk Cousins ahead of him in Minnesota. Sal: "You are sitting in the drivers seat if you hold the 1.01 pick in a Superflex rookie draft. Allmendinger Has Work To Do Sunday At Vegas. Copyright Intense Industries, LLC. 3 was the easiest pick, but maybe it is this one. My Long-Term Sleeper of the 2021 Class: Ihmir Smith-Marsette should be considered the lead candidate to fill both Minnesota's open spot at kick returner and WR3 this year. Dynasty Superflex Startup Draft Rankings (2021 Fantasy Football) We recently shared our rankings for dynasty startup leagues. Brevin Jordan is George's TE3 in this class, but at the bottom of a tier below several receivers on the board. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts, https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp/rookie/12-team/all/2021. 2. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. The Louisiana product is fast, has a solid build, showed solid receiving ability at the Senior Bowl, and his one-cut style fits the Kyle Shanahan scheme. Hes a big, fast touchdown machine who produced despite playing second and third fiddle to Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase the last few years. Sermon lands in an excellent zone-blocking offense in San Francisco, but faces touch competition from the 49ers' strong group of veteran running backs. Brandon's take reflects my own quite well; Larry Rountree may end up on the tail end of a running back depth chart and will need to clearly outwork and outperform the players ahead of him in practice to have a shot at fantasy relevancy. At that point, the Vikings could have a higher upside passer than Kirk Cousins under center and a more pass-oriented coordinator than Klint Kubiak. Neither Newman nor Book are likely to become anything, but Newman is the better player, and his path to starts is just as good as the Notre Dame grad. 4.06) A. Schwartz WR CLE 6 is too good to pass up. You probably won't want to draft from this. I certainly can't fault their selections here, as there's a very low percentage chance that any of the prospects selected in the fourth round of a rookie draft will have starting value on your dynasty squad. 4.05) C. Powell WR KC At the end of the second round with the safety of Jaylen Waddle on his mock roster, Matt shoots for the moon here. Demetric Felton has the ability to excel as a receiver out of the backfield and in slot receiving formations. That's not a typo. 12 in the NFL Draft, 9) Travis Etienne (RB2 Jacksonville Jaguars), Heading into the NFL Draft, it was a coin flip between, 10) Mac Jones (QB5 New England Patriots). 5.05) I. Smith-Marsette WR MIN Throw in his receiving production and size, and hes got a great shot at a three-down alpha-RB role.". Chatarius "Tutu" Atwell is not a large man by any measure approaching NFL prospect standards. 1.02) T. Lance QB SF Showing out at the Senior Bowl certainly won't hurt Amari Rodgers's NFL Draft stock, and a role as a slot receiver with tremendous yards-after-the-catch skills could easily return value here. Generally, data from Sunday's games will be available early Tuesday . Rookie ADP is the Average Draft Position for players in fantasy. Drafting Tamorrion Terry is making a bet on innate athleticism and traits over college production. But given the format, we see it deviate. Learn more. More info ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. 1.05) J. Casey: "He may lack the college production you look for in a top-tier RB prospect, but I think he could be a productive early-down RB in the NFL. 5.01) T. Terry WR SEA I have no idea who this kid is, but Im owning the selection.. Make no mistake, Trevor Lawrence is the best quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck.Rarely do we see true freshmen dominate as Lawrence did in 2018, and over his three seasons at Clemson, Lawrence exhibited excellent accuracy, the ability to make good reads, and great footwork. While Gordon could share touches early on, the Broncos showed commitment when they traded ahead of the Miami Dolphins to get Williams. ADP Sources: Aaron: "With the two top quarterbacks off the board, Im very happy grabbing Ja'Marr Chase with the fourth overall pick. It's potentially dangerous to fade an outlier in the size category with this much talent and production against SEC opponents. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Carter's physical play belies his short stature (says the guy who considers himself above-average in height at 5-foot-10). 2.05) K. Gainwell RB PHI I love his versatility, and in Superflex leagues, Id be happy to land him in a strong QB draft.". Sal channeled my feelings here like a telepath with mercifully benevolent intentions. I responded to one of your posts that was months ago today lol. Selecting him at 4.09 might be my best choice in this draft. With some work, Smiths ceiling could be something attuned to a Cole Beasley.". Aaron: "The hype has died down a bit with Kenneth Gainwell, but at the 2.04, Im happy to gamble on his upside. 2.03) E. Moore WR NYJ Nwangwu's eye-popping athleticism is intriguing and may have been enough for the Vikings to de-emphasize the fact he had just 143 total carries at Iowa State across four seasons, but his draft capital combined with his measurables justifies a shot here. Chase will likely clock in below 4.40 at his Pro Day later this month at 6-foot-1 and 208 pounds. Collins went from the final pick of the pre-NFL Draft mock to the ninth pick of the third round after the draft. 7. If his struggles were more related to playing through injury and performance issues around him than individual struggles, Brandon could be landing an absolute steal at 2.08. Amari Rodgers shared Moore's rocketship up the ranks, going from the 3.11 to the 2.06, which can be attributed mostly to his new partnership with Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay. If you choose an RB, Harris is by far and away the top running back in 2021 dynasty rookie mock drafts and remains the same here. The usual adage of "don't expect production from a rookie tight end" can probably be thrown out the window in this case. Scraping the Bottom of the QB Barrel: Ian Book is currently being drafted in the fourth round of Superflex drafts, but the truth is he holds very little fantasy value. It's part of the one-of-a-kind Premium Membership! Book has never profiled as a starting QB in the NFL, and he doesn't do anything that Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill cant do better. I have the 1.02 pick in this 5-round rookie draft. The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. Jordan certainly has the size and production to represent upside at the position, but he's less of a sure-thing as a receiver than Kyle Pitts, and in a non-TE-premium league, I'm a little more risk-averse early in the second and would probably lean toward one of the WRs available here. I know I said pick No. Jalen Hurts will progress in his second season, and Smith should be his first read in his progression. Look for him to secure an early role similar to Matt Breidas during his sophomore season, but Mitchell has the size and speed to put up Raheem Mostert level stats if he gets consistent double-digit touches. Just do it.". Andrew: "Herbert probably wont be much of a pass-catching threat in the NFL, but he's a legit athlete with speed likely to test out in the low-4.4s, and after a 2020 season at Virginia Tech in which he rushed for 1,182 yards and eight touchdowns, he's an easy target here. He's a worthy target here. More info. Rhamondre Stevenson may be slow, but you would be too at 6-foot-0 and 230+ pounds. It's the fourth round, Williams is 6-foot-3 and 211 pounds, and he had Bo Nix throwing passes in his direction. NFL rumors and mock drafts gave us some idea about where in the draft these prospects were likely to be selected. I strongly considered passing on Kyle Trask for options at running back and wide receiver in the third, based on the possibility I could target Jamie Newman in the fourth, so it's nice to know that plan would have imploded. He could form a strong duo at the position alongside Mike Gesicki in Miami. The Heisman winner is a big-time playmaker and has as much upside as anyone in this draft. . Fields QB CHI Fourth-round picks are absolute fliers and Hawkins is one Im totally fine gambling on. He's an actor and writer who first started playing fantasy football in 2001. Robert Saleh has quickly worked to mitigate the damage of the previous regime, and Im willing to bet on Wilson being the real deal. 8) DeVonta Smith (WR2 Philadelphia Eagles). Playoff-Only Top 70 Rankings. 3.05) R. Stevenson RB NE Paul: I have him as my QB1 on the board ahead of Lawrence. The round was also extremely wide receiver heavy, with nine of the 12 picks being spent on the position. Dynasty Fantasy Football 2021: Rookie-only Superflex mock draft analysis and full results Rookie drafts get considerably deeper in the Superflex format By Heath Cummings May 26, 2021 at. Casey: "Despite the recent concerns and the fact Wilson has jumped him in multiple NFL mocks, I slot Fields as the second-best QB in the 2021 draft. This is a great value for Justin at 1.10. At 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds as part of a shallow Texans receiving corps, he's very enticing here. Hubbard outrushed every running back in the country in 2019 with 2,094 rushing yards on an impressive 6.4 yards per attemptit's not hard to see the upside here. No one at the position is more valuable than Chase and could quickly become of the best receivers in the NFL. 3.11) K. Mond QB MIN Khalil Herbert didn't really get a reasonable chance to show his capabilities in his college career at Virginia Tech. Side note: If my hometown Patriots were to trade up in the first round to pick a quarterback, as our own Anthony Staggs predicts in his Mock Draft, choosing Lance to develop for a short time behind a veteran acquisition like Ryan Fitzpatrick is the stuff of dreams, or potentially nightmares for nearly anyone who didn't grow up in the New England area. 3.10) J. Hawkins RB ATL Quarterback scarcity is a far bigger concern in superflex formats, which changes how I have the incoming class of quarterbacks ranked between 1QB rookie rankings and superflex rookie rankings. Justin's pick is contrarian, but it's far from crazy. Computer selections are filtered out, and only human selections are considered. He was an anti-sports punk-rock-listening skateboarding nerd until he left his hometown in 1995, and then took a hard left turn into sports fandom borne from a need to represent his home state after moving to New York. The Senior Bowl has concluded, your dynasty leagues have been flipped over and everyone is focused on the value of the 2021 fantasy football rookie picks. Win Big With RotoBaller Stats powered by FantasyData.com. Jones has a massive chip on his shoulder after hearing for the last month-plus he would be the No. The most notable change in the second draft from the first was Trey Lance going first overall over Trevor Lawrence, compared to his selection at 1.06 in March as the fourth quarterback taken. Data from 31 fantasy football mock drafts between December 3, 2022 and January 13, 2023. Javonte Williams exponentially increased his production over his three-year college career at North Carolina, and while the receiving accolades are mostly directed at his teammate Michael Carter, Williams displayed his utility as a receiver out of the backfield in 2020. 5.02) D. Newsome WR CHI Lance may not start immediately with Jimmy Garoppolo still in San Francisco, but there's no quarterback in this class with more Konami-code upside than Lance, and the receiving arsenal at his disposal that includes Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle is superb. He may lack the explosiveness to expand his game too far. George: "Lance has all the tools but drafters will need to be patient as he refines as a quarterback. Couch Empire League - 2021 Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Draft (SuperFlex) This is a SuperFlex league where you can start up to two quarterbacks, and you have to start three wide receivers. Trevor Lawrence is a safer selection in that it's a near-certainty he'll be starting for the Jaguars in Week 1, there's far more college tape on which to evaluate him than there is for Lance, and Lawrence is one of the most highly-regarded quarterback prospects since Andrew Luck. Danny: "This was an easy pick here with both Lawrence and Fields gone. Terrace Marshall Jr., Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kadarius Toney and Tylan Wallace saw negligible change in their draft values between the two mocks. Welcome to the late-fourth-round of a fantasy rookie draft. You won't see this very often in Superflex rookie drafts with Trevor Lawrence so strongly entrenched as the consensus number one pick, but I wouldn't dismiss Justin's selection here. Then, the actual NFL draft happened and dumped most everything on its head as it . This round saw some new arrivals to the draft boardplayers who were undrafted in March but whose NFL Draft destinations buoyed their values into third-round territory. Selected at pick No. You should demand a future first if you are trading away an early second in Superflex this year and perhaps more. And you do not spend the 25th overall selection on a third-down back. Elijah Moore was one of the clearest beneficiaries of the NFL Draft outcome, rising 17 spots from the 3.06 to the 2.01. Elijah Mitchell brings impressive speed, agility, and receiving chops to a San Francisco running back room that's six players deep with his inclusion. With the top four quarterback prospects off of the board, Chris lands one of the top two running backs in what appears to be a top-heavy class. The Steelers needed an RB desperately. The Jaguars made some solid additions to their team, especially on the offense. Najee Harris stepped into an Alabama backfield as a freshman in 2018 behind Damien Harris and Josh Jacobs, yet still managed to command 121 wildly-efficient touches. That is the approximate order they will come off the board, just understand that rookie QBs will have slightly more value. He started writing for 4for4 before the 2019 season, and he's primarily focused on best-ball, redraft, and dynasty fantasy leagues. Waddle averaged 19 yards per reception for his collegiate career, ranking second on Alabama's all-time list (minimum . MyFantasyLeague.com, Dynasty League Football, Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com This code will embed a snapshot of the current graph above for the selected players: To get an embed code that always displays a player's latest ADP data, click on a player's name below to go to their player page. Palmer's presence is the surprise here, but being tied to Justin Herbert in Los Angeles with second-round draft capital makes it easier to stomach his lack of college production or exciting measurables. Sal: "Im going to group these two picks together. You literally can not go wrong. 2.11) P. Freiermuth TE PIT Dynasty Fantasy Football: Post-draft rookie-only rankings, and be warned they are top heavy . With the NFL Draft in our rearview mirror, we have finally embarked on Dynasty Rookie Draft season, and the start of Dynasty Startup season is just around the corner. While he's a long shot to start in the NFL, barring a series of fortuitous events (for him, unfortunate events for those who would need to flame out to open the necessary doors), I do think he has the ability to show out if the opportunity presents itself. I prefer quarterbacks who offer production on the ground and in Newmans final full season (he opted out of 2020) in 2019, he ran for 574 yards and tacked on six touchdowns on the ground. He could be the steal of 2021 dynasty rookie rankings. Brandon: "I was really hoping Etienne would make it here, as I like his floor a little more than the undersized Smiths, but if he was two inches taller and 20 pounds heavier, hed be viewed as a cant-miss prospect. He's also a talented route-runner with experience all over the offensive formation. . Trevor Lawrence is the first overall section in this 2021 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft and has been for quite some time. The final round saw two more dart throws at the quarterback position with selections of Sam Ehlinger and Ian Book. Fields talent is undeniable, and he could be a top-six QB in dynasty formats in a very short time. Zach Wilson captivated the NFL with his play at BYU and secured his No. My team is [] Player values fluctuated throughout March and April as Pro Day measurements and results trickled in. He runs very tough for his size and has very nice speed, which may cause his stock to rise a bit. Other than that it will be roughly the same. Pat Freiermuth, George's Rookie TE2, is a value for Aaron here. For in-season advice, use our rankings to find out Who should I start? Thats why many fantasy managers are selecting him after Travis Etienne, DeVonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle in their Rookie Drafts. He should also end up with an impressive dominator rating and should easily outperform his third-round rookie fantasy draft capital. Here is where draft order and the format making its presence felt. Miami also spent a third-round pick to acquire him, and it may only take an early fourth-round rookie pick (or late-third if you have a glaring need) to acquire him for your dynasty team. Lance going third overall to San Francisco was a dream scenario for him. Gainwell may be destined for more of a complementary role in the NFL, but the same could be said for Michael Carter to some extentand he doesn't have Hubbard's senior year stat-depression. That kind of edge is worth remembering when an elite WR prospect (JaMarr Chase) and an elite TE prospect (Kyle Pitts) are both available when you pick. The only concern is James Robinson. Email marketing by StrikeStack. That combined with the physicality and power displayed by this human Mack truck contributed to Williams being one of the most elusive runners in this class. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? At 6-foot-4, 222 pounds, Collins is absolutely worth a bullet at the end of the fourth round. It's looking more and more like the first three picks in the 2021 NFL will be quarterbacks. The landing spot is a perfect fit. He is flying under the radar, playing at Western Michigan, but I project him as a Day 2 NFL Draft pick, which will skyrocket his fantasy football value.". Jermar Jefferson is another prospect who may be destined for a complementary role in the NFL, but he put up impressive rushing totals at Oregon State. This is likely as much of an indicator of how thoroughly the draft muddied the waters for mid-range running back values than as it is a vote of confidence in the landing spots for the receivers. Fantasy Football Calculator, Dynasty League Football, Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com I film every single fantasy draft, including this one. Honestly, all 2021 rookie drafts begin here at pick No. His 6.7 yards per attempt easily bested his teammates, both of whom now lead their teams' respective backfields. Allen Robinson will surely be gone after this year, and if they struggle, so will Matt Nagy and Ryan Pace. How could you go wrong with Najee Harris or Lance/Fields? I was joined by 4for4's Brandon Niles, George Kritikos, Justin Redwards, Kevin Zatloukal and Sal Stefanile for both drafts. He'll also have Tua Tagovailoa as his quarterback, and he's got ideal size for the position at 6-foot-5 and 254 pounds. Rashod Bateman dropping out of the first round is an understandable development given his NFL home with the Ravens, a team that was dead last in passing rate in 2021. Aaron: The biggest knock on Javian Hawkins is definitely his size, weighing under 200 pounds. 2.04) M. Carter RB NYJ multiple pre-draft meetings with the New England Patriots, 10 Fantasy-Relevant 2023 Rookies: A First Look, 2023 Available Targets and Air Yards Tracker, Punt & Kickoff Return Depth Chart and Players to Target, 12 Last-Place Punishments for Your Fantasy League, 2023 NFL Scouting Combine: Schedule, Participants, & Live Updated Results. Granted, Atwell would lap me at least four times on a track of any length, which is why he has a chip and a chair. 12 in the NFL Draft, DeVonta Smith slipped a bit further than most expected. Casey: "I like his size and ball skills, I worry a little about his issues creating separation against NFL corners, but his upside made this pick in the fourth a no-brainer.". Pat: "Is he a running back or a wide receiver? Batemen is a precise route runner with prototypical size who could realistically outperform many of the receivers drafted before him in this class. Jones is a better QB than most give him credit for, and now he can prove it was not just the talent of Alabama that made him into the player that he was on film. However, Smith-Marsettes true fantasy value lies in his potential to replace Adam Thielen as the team's WR2 in 2023 or 2024. Kenneth Gainwell is the fourth running back taken in this draft, and while George has both Michael Carter and Chuba Hubbard ranked higher, I can see Aaron's reasoning with this selection. I prefer to take a shot on someone like that this late in a rookie draft. Computer selections are filtered out, and only human selections are considered. Top-12 rookies will be 1st round picks. Amongst the 2021 rookies for dynasty, Lance might very well have the highest ceiling and lands in literally the perfect situation. George: "Moore is going to be a riser in the next few months as he is a productive college player who will be a Day Two NFL pick. There is a massive fall off at running back but knowing there is a whole round worth of picks until we are back on the clock, the selection is Mac Jones. Useful for fantasy draft preparation. His value took a bit of a hit in terms of his opportunity for immediate production when he was drafted by a Denver team paying Melvin Gordon $8M in 2021, 86% of which is guaranteed. Wilson is at his best making off-platform throws, and the Jets have sneakily built a solid wide receiver corps. Paul: Incredibly versatile WR who moved from slot to perimeter this year, and averaged more than a TD/game. Player values fluctuated throughout March and April as Pro Day measurements and results trickled in. Theres not much more analysis to this pick. Born to be an NFL slot receiver.". That isnt the case in this years Superflex drafts, though, with intriguing talents like Trey Sermon and Michael Carter regularly falling into the teens. The late-third is an excellent range for a very interesting trio of wide receivers in Nico Collins, Tutu Atwell, Anthony Schwartz and Josh Palmer. Hills lack of explosiveness is a reason his fantasy stock will see him in this range, but there is use for a north-south runner with exceptional ball security.". Thats a pretty impressive early breakout. Hes the type of dynamic athlete who typifies todays NFL and should become a big-play threat and movable chess piece for an NFL offense that will lead to solid fantasy stats.". For the post-NFL Draft mock, Jack Miller and Pete Davidson joined the party, while Pat Fitzmaurice and Paul Williams graciously returned, and John Hogue and Pat Thorman took the bait to fill out the draft room. Other than that it will be roughly the same. I was thrilled to draft him here as my rookie RB1. Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All but one of the running backs in this final round paid the price of having either low NFL Draft capital or none at all, and almost no one in the draft-projecting community expected the odd man out, Kene Nwangwu, to be drafted anywhere near the fourth round. Many players' values are also dependent on whether a roster is contending for a title or in the process of rebuilding, but in general . 2022 Dynasty Rookie Rankings KTC's dynasty fantasy football rankings crowdsource the current market value of players and picks from 8185791 data points (and counting) provided by users like you. Unfortunately, that depth chart includes Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Van Jefferson and DeSean Jackson, so he'd need quite a bit to happen around him to see fantasy-worthy usage in 2021. You literally can not go wrong. Dynasty; About Author . But given the format, we see it deviate. His speed, agility and breakout age of 18.9 makes him a good candidate to rise up the depth chart quickly. We will still get Pro Day timings and measurements for these players, our confidence grows that the dim glow ahead of us may actually be the light at the end of the tunnel of this pandemic, and you're reading an article about dynasty fantasy football. Which probably ultimately means we watch him become the 2021 version of Bo Scarbrough. My team is playing for the future as I dont think Im going to win this year, but plan to make a run for the championship no later than 2023. Shi Smith because he joins a Panthers team behind starters D.J. 3.09) D. Mills QB HOU What is Rookie ADP? No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form.
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